The present study, focusing on examining the evolution of the performance of the Turkish government between 2006 and 2024, using the theoretical framework of fragile states and the structural analysis method, seeks to answer the main question: How can the current and future situation of the Turkish government be explained based on government fragility indicators? The data required for the study were collected from the Peace Fund Institute, which monitors and publishes the "State Fragility Index". To assess the relationships between variables, the "MICMAC" method and specialized software version 6.1.2 were used. Also, the evaluation of the structural analysis matrices was carried out based on the opinion and consensus of a panel of experts in the field of Turkey and related specialists so that expert judgments could be the basis for the analysis. The findings of the study show that three key variables; "Elite divergence", "foreign intervention" and "human rights" are among the main drivers of this process and, by influencing five vital variables; "state legitimacy", "security apparatus", "public services", "unbalanced economy" and "poverty and economic decline", they form a set of causal and disabling relationships that result in reinforcing and destructive feedbacks that have led to the weakening of governance capacities and the intensification of structural vulnerabilities in Turkey and, ultimately, have brought consequences such as brain drain, structural inflation, reduction of social capital and weakening of the country's international position. Therefore, the result of this process shows that Turkey is moving towards state fragility.